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Macquarie analysts reiterate that "Trump 2.0 will be a more inflationary policy regime"

Started by forex4you, Jul 23, 2024, 07:00 am

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Macquarie analysts reiterate that "Trump 2.0 will be a more inflationary policy regime"

I posted last week on Macquarie pointing to populist economic policies as "inflationary by design", and that the Fed's easing cycle may be shallower than presumed:

  • while US inflation may continue to stay low in the next few months and allow the Fed to start easing in September, once 'popunomics' is invoked, inflation will be a feature of the system

In a note on Monday (more here) analysts at the investment bank reiterated:

  • Trump's expected policies are likely to be more inflationary


  • "Trump 2.0 will be a more inflationary policy regime, given restricted immigration, higher tariffs, and the extension of the Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2025"
  • forecast US Treasury yields and the dollar to be higher
  • Trump regime may restrict immigration ... the removal of low-cost labor supply may put upward pressure on wages
  • federal deficit ... also likely to expand under Trump

Agree / disagree? If comments could be non-partisan that'd be great. Like this dude says:



                This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Source: Macquarie analysts reiterate that "Trump 2.0 will be a more inflationary policy regime"

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