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Timiraos: The Fed may start the debate about a Sept cut at the upcoming meeting

Started by forex4you, Jul 06, 2024, 06:44 am

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Timiraos: The Fed may start the debate about a Sept cut at the upcoming meeting

Nick Timiraos says today's jobs report wasn't alarming enough to put a July rate cut on the table (pricing is just 5%) but says that it could open up a real debate about September.

The June jobs report will make the July Fed meeting more interesting because there may be--for the first time all year--a real debate over whether to cut at the *next* meeting (in September)

The thing is, the Fed will need to lay out some stronger hints of a cut but he also highlights next week's CPI report as a key variable ahead of the July 30-31 meeting.

The Fed's policy debates are inertial, owing to officials' desire to telegraph clearly their decisions. As a result, policy meetings tend to focus as much on what officials should do next time as on the outcome of the current meeting.

That means a central focus of the July meeting will be if and how the committee signals its openness to a September cut.

The market is pricing in a 79% chance of a cut at the September meeting.



                This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Source: Timiraos: The Fed may start the debate about a Sept cut at the upcoming meeting

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