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Dogecoin, Cardano “Very Bullish” Based On MVRV: Santiment

Started by Bitcoin, Jun 20, 2024, 05:04 am

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Dogecoin, Cardano "Very Bullish" Based On MVRV: Santiment

The on-chain analytics firm Santiment has revealed that Dogecoin and Cardano are two assets that look “very bullish” according to this metric.

Dogecoin & Cardano Currently Have Low 30-Day MVRV Ratios

In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed about how some of the top assets in the cryptocurrency sector are looking like right now in terms of the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio.

The MVRV Ratio is a popular on-chain indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the market cap and realized cap for any given coin. The market cap here naturally refers to the simple total valuation of the asset’s supply at the current price.

The realized cap is also a method of calculating the valuation of the cryptocurrency, but the twist here is that this model doesn’t take the value of all tokens in circulation the same as the spot price. Rather, this model assumes that the “real” value of any coin is the same as the price at which it was last transferred on the blockchain.

Generally, the last transaction can be assumed to be the last point at which the coin changed hands, so the price at its time could be considered to be its current cost basis. As such, the realized cap basically calculates the sum of the cost basis of every coin in circulation.

One way to view the model, therefore, is as a measure of the total amount of capital that the investors have used to purchase the total Bitcoin supply in circulation.

Since the MVRV ratio compares the market cap, which represents the value that the investors are holding right now, against this initial investment, its value can tell us about the profit-loss status of the market as a whole.

Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that reveals the recent trend in the 30-day MVRV ratio of six top coins: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), XRP (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), Toncoin (TON), and Cardano (ADA).

Dogecoin, Cardano MVRV Ratio

The 30-day MVRV Ratio only includes the data for the investors who bought their coins within the past month. Thus, its value reflects the profit-loss balance of these new buyers.

From the graph, it’s visible that the indicator is at negative levels for all of these assets right now, implying that the 30-day investors would be at a loss. This may not actually be bad, though, as Santiment notes, “the lower a cryptocurrency’s 30-day MVRV is, the higher the likelihood we see a short-term bounce.”

At present, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are seeing small negative values, suggesting that these assets may be slightly undervalued. The metric stands at just -0.6% for Toncoin, though, implying that TON is more or less neutral currently.

Dogecoin and Cardano, on the other hand, stand out with their 30-day MVRV Ratios of -16.7% and -12.6%, respectively. These values are deep enough that Santiment has labelled these coins as “very bullish.”

It now remains to be seen how DOGE and ADA develop in the coming days, given this potential positive signal in the MVRV Ratio.

DOGE Price

Dogecoin has been riding on bearish momentum over the last couple of weeks as its price has now dropped to $0.125.

Dogecoin Price Chart

Source: Dogecoin, Cardano "Very Bullish" Based On MVRV: Santiment