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Westpac affirm their forecast for RBA rate hikes to 3.85% by May 2023

Started by forex4you, Dec 16, 2022, 07:03 am

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Westpac affirm their forecast for RBA rate hikes to 3.85% by May 2023

<p>From WPAC's latest:  'Market themes for 2023 and 2024'</p><p>On the Reserve Bank of Australia December meeting:</p><ul><li>(Lowe) maintained the guidance used in the last two meetings, that "the Board expects to increase rates further in the period ahead" although adding "but is not on a pre-set course." That term has been used in previous communications and does not detract from the interpretation that the statement carries a strong tightening bias.</li></ul><p>Westpac expect the RBA cash rate to reach 3.85% by May next year:</p><ul><li>Forces we expect will require that higher rate by May include evidence of very high inflation prints for both the December and March quarters. Our current forecasts are: 7.5% for the December quarter (6.7% underlying) and 6.6% for the March quarter (6.5% underlying).</li><li>the Board will be cautious given that wage increases will be intensifying in the first half of 2023 and some components of inflation - particularly services - will remain a challenge while the need to anchor inflationary expectations in the face of such high inflation prints will be ongoing.</li></ul><p>---</p><p>The RBA so far in this hiking cycle:</p>

                This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Source: Westpac affirm their forecast for RBA rate hikes to 3.85% by May 2023

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