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BOE Tenreyro: Extremely challenging times for the UK and the global economy

Started by forex4you, Nov 12, 2022, 05:57 am

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BOE Tenreyro: Extremely challenging times for the UK and the global economy

<ul><li>Energy prices are pushing up prices in the short term but have medium term disinflationary impact</li><li>BOE needs to balance energy impact against any 2nd round effects </li><li>I would expect that bank trade counter at 3% over 2023 reduce output further below potential</li><li>policy will likely have to loosen in 2024 to try to prevent inflation falling below target</li><li>policy should focus on inflation, not offsetting losing guilt yields or FX rates</li><li>most of the impact on demand of tighter bank trade yet appear</li><li>my main rationale for further tightening of monetary policy last week was risk management</li><li>BOE needs to guard against over tightening policy</li><li>it is too early to judge whether the labor market will loosen as forecast by the Bank of England</li><li>UK demand likely to fall even if energy prices fall back </li><li>initial signs and UK labor market is starting to loosen</li><li>UK likely to be in recession in Q4, mostly due to lower real incomes.</li></ul><p>You can find the full speech by <a href="https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2022/november/silvana-tenreyro-keynote-speech-at-the-society-of-professional-economists-annual-conference" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">CLICKING HERE</a></p>

                This article was written by Greg Michalowski at forexlive.com.

Source: BOE Tenreyro: Extremely challenging times for the UK and the global economy

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