RBA recap - more alert to upside inflation risks, less confident inflation is moderatingThe Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged yesterday, as widely expected:
Via Westpac, a recap, in brief from a much longer report:
The RBA is more alert and less confident in its inflation fight.
- the RBA Board left the cash rate on hold after only considering a rate hike or staying the course. That is, a rate cut was not discussed. What's more, the tone of the statement and rhetoric from the RBA Governor Michele Bullock suggested a step up in concerns around upside inflation risks, despite repeating the now familiar mantra of not ruling anything in or out.
- In perhaps one of the more telling remarks of the press conference, Governor Bullock said "we need a lot to go our way if we are going to bring inflation down to the 2-3% target" and the economy's narrow path is "getting a bit narrower."
Tough talk from the RBA and Governor Bullock is not misplaced. Its better to sound hawkish, this in itself can count some way towards a tighter policy. On the other hand, sounding dovish can have an easing impact, at the margin.
AUD/USD update, helped by a softer US dollar.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Source: RBA recap - more alert to upside inflation risks, less confident inflation is moderating (https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/rba-recap-more-alert-to-upside-inflation-risks-less-confident-inflation-is-moderating-20240618/)
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