PIMCO on 3 reasons the Bank of Canada is hiking, and what's aheadA PIMCO piece on the Bank of Canada. The Bank has hastened its hiking cycle due to:
above-target inflation,
higher commodity prices,
and concerns about financial stability
And adds that at the mid-April meeting:
Bank of Canada signalled more hikes to come, and announced plans to reduce its balance sheet
PIMCO says that:
Buoyed by strong commodity prices, above-trend growth and inflation, a closed output gap, and an expected lag before higher rates affect consumers, BOC officials likely believe the economy can weather a faster hiking cycle.
The Canadian economy should also benefit from further reopening tailwinds this year.
The inflation surge in March suggests a hike of 50 bps may come at the BOC's next meeting on 1 June. However, relative to some other DM central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, the BOC likely faces higher interest rate sensitivity and more modest underlying inflationary pressures - meaning the BOC may ultimately deliver less tightening.
Info via this piece here, more detail at that link if oyu wish.
USD/CAD update:
Source: PIMCO on 3 reasons the Bank of Canada is hiking, and what's ahead (https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/pimco-on-3-reasons-the-bank-of-canada-is-hiking-and-whats-ahead-20220428/)
forexlive.com