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Oil gets a GDP boost, gold drops ahead of Fed

Started by PocketOption, Jan 31, 2023, 10:31 am

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PocketOption

Oil gets a GDP boost, gold drops ahead of Fed

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Oil


Crude prices got an unexpected boost from a US economy that doesn't want to break. Another round of US data supported the argument that this economy still could get a soft landing, which is very positive for the short-term crude demand outlook. The problem with the long-term growth outlook for the US economy is that it needs a recession in order for inflation to get tamed. ​ Strong data is not necessarily good news for winning the war against inflation and that will weigh on long-term US growth prospects. ​


Improving news with China's COVID situation and a resilient US economy should keep oil prices supported above the $80 region.


Gold


Gold is softening a bit as better-than-expected US GDP data supports the argument that the Fed could still deliver a soft landing. ​ Gold's rally was on hold until the FOMC decision, so this morning's weakness to strong GDP and jobless claims data was an easy trade. Safe-haven demand is still needed as the consumer is clearly weakening here and we will probably need to wait a little longer for GDP and claims data to catch up.


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