Started by Bitcoin, Sep 11, 2022, 08:13 am
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin stablecoin supply ratio is now showing a green signal that has proved to be profitable for the crypto several times in the last two years.
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, out of the 11 previous such buy signals, 10 ended up profitable for the crypto.
The “stablecoin supply ratio” (or the SSR in brief) is an indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap of Bitcoin and that of all stablecoins.
Generally, whenever investors want to avoid volatility associated with cryptos like BTC, they shift their coins into stablecoins. Once they feel that prices are right to re-enter the markets again, they buy back into them. As such, the total stablecoin supply can be looked at as potential buying pressure for other cryptos.
When the value of the SSR is high, it means the BTC supply is higher compared to the stablecoin cap, and thus there is low buying pressure in the market currently.
On the other hand, low values of the indicator suggest there is high potential dry powder in the market right now. Because of this, such a trend can be bullish for the price of Bitcoin.
Now, there is a metric called the Bitcoin SSR “shock momentum,” which tracks the rate of change in its value. Here is a chart that shows the trend for it over the past couple of years:
As you can see in the above graph, the quant from the post has marked the relevant points of trend for the Bitcoin SSR shock momentum.
It seems like whenever this metric has made a low below the green dotted level, the price of the crypto has observed a buy signal.
During the last two years, there have been eleven instances of this pattern taking place, out of which only one has turned out to be a false signal.
Most recently, the indicator has once again showed this formation. If the past trend is anything to go by, then this may turn out to be bullish for Bitcoin.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $20.9k, up 4% in the past week. Over the last month, the crypto has lost 12% in value.
The below chart shows the trend in the BTC price over the last five days.
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