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Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US growth scare after big Q1 GDP miss

Started by forex4you, Apr 29, 2022, 04:31 am

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Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US growth scare after big Q1 GDP miss

US Q1 advance GDP -1.4% vs +1.1% expected
    US initial jobs claims 180K versus 180K estimate
    Germany April preliminary HICP +7.8% vs +7.6% y/y expected
    EU oil ban on  is imminent after Germany drops opposition - report
    Amazon earnings not good. Loss of -$7.56 vs gain of $8.36
    Two large explosions reported in Kyiv
    U.S. Treasury auctions off $44 billion of 7 year notes at high yield of 2.908%
    KC Fed manufacturing index 28 vs 46 prior
    Guangzhou orders mass testing and grounds flights after covid cases found at airport


Markets:

    Gold up $9 to $1895
    WTI crude oil up $3.30 to $105.32
    US 10-year yields +1.6 bps to 2.83%
    S&P 500 up 103 points or 2.5% to 4287
    USD leads, JPY lags


US GDP missed badly but the market was largely forgiving as it was mostly driven by trade with some help from inventories. Government spending was also soft but it was on softer defense spending and that won't last. The bigger move on the GDP report might have been stocks and the risk trade on the thinking that the Fed could be marginally less hawkish as it begins to fret about growth. That could change with tomorrow's PCE report but that thinking helped to boost stocks. On that front it was a wild ride. Futures were 1.2% higher but that optimism didn't last and the gains evaporated before lunchtime. But the dip buyers emerged and there was a huge rally into the close. Aside from the JPY weakness -- which has taken on a life of its own -- the FX market wasn't particularly impressed with stocks as both AUD/USD and NZD/USD fell significantly on the day.Some of that is feedback from the broad dollar rally due to the breakdowns in JPY, EUR and GBP. There's also some month-end demand for dollars going through. Over in Europe, it sounds like a ban on n oil is coming and that's another reason to downgrade eurozone GDP forecasts for whenever it's phased in.The euro chopped sideways and the pound bounced a bit after breaking down to 1.2412 but a modest bounce after such a big fall isn't particularly inspiring.

Source: Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US growth scare after big Q1 GDP miss

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