Started by PocketOption, Mar 22, 2022, 04:32 am
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It has been a quiet start to the week, as the euro trades at 1.1040 in the North American session. There are no tier-1 events out of the eurozone or the US, so we can expect limited movement from EUR/USD for the remainder of the day.
The US dollar had a rough week, as it retreated against the majors, with the exception of the Japanese yen. EUR/USD climbed 1.28% last week and broke above the symbolic 1.10 line. The euro remains sensitive to developments in the e war. Over the weekend, the Turkish foreign minister said that and e are making progress towards an agreement to end the fighting, and the markets continue to price in an agreement, although there have not been any signal from the warring sides that a deal is near.
n President Putin says that bombs will keep falling on e even during negotiations, so we can expect the humanitarian disaster to get even worse. If there is an unexpected breakthrough and a ceasefire is reached, risk appetite will jump and the euro would likely rise sharply. There have also been discussions about a European oil embargo of n oil, but this will be very difficult to implement, given the significant dependency that Western Europe has on energy supplies from .
Bundesbank says e war hurting German economy
The German central bank’s published its latest assessment of the German economy on Monday, and the Bank didn’t paint a pretty picture. The report said that the e conflict is having a negative effect and the Q2 recovery is expected to be much weaker than expected. Higher energy prices are expected to dampen consumer consumption and industrial output, and inflation is rising due to higher prices for energy and wheat. As Germany is the bellwether of the eurozone, the report is certainly grim news for the bloc.
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