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TA: Bitcoin Resumes Downtrend, Why Upsides Remain Capped

Started by Bitcoin, Apr 27, 2022, 06:08 am

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Bitcoin

TA: Bitcoin Resumes Downtrend, Why Upsides Remain Capped

Bitcoin failed to gain pace above $40,700 and declined against the US Dollar. BTC traded to a new weekly low and might struggle to climb above $39,200.



  • Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the key $40,700 resistance zone.

  • The price is now back below $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near $39,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

  • The pair could correct higher, but upsides might be capped near $38,800 or $39,200.


Bitcoin Price Declines Sharply

Bitcoin price attempted a clear move above the $40,500 level. However, BTC failed to clear the $40,700 and $40,750 resistance levels.


A high was formed near $40,776 and the price reacted to the downside. There was a sharp decline below the $40,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near $39,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.


Bitcoin is now back below $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It traded as low as $37,672 and is currently consolidating losses.


It is testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $40,776 swing high to $37,672 low. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $38,800 level. The next key resistance could be near the $39,200 zone.


The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $40,776 swing high to $37,672 low is also near the $39,250 zone. The main resistance is now forming near the $39,550 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.



Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

If there is a clear move above the $39,200 and $39,550 levels, the price could start a decent increase. In the stated case, the price could even surpass the $40,000 resistance. The next major resistance may perhaps be near the $40,700 zone.


More Losses in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $39,200 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $37,650 level.


The next major support is seen near the $37,500 level. A close below the $37,500 support zone might start another decline. In the stated case, the price might drop to $36,200.


Technical indicators:


Hourly MACD - The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bearish zone.


Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) - The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.


Major Support Levels - $37,650, followed by $37,500.


Major Resistance Levels - $39,200, $39,550 and $40,000.


Source: TA: Bitcoin Resumes Downtrend, Why Upsides Remain Capped