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Jun 07, 2023, 11:17 am

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51
Forex / ECB minutes recap - many Euroz...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
ECB minutes recap - many Eurozone central bank governors wanted a larger rate hike

The European Central Bank May meeting minutes were published on Thursday.

Justin had the news posted here:

You'll recall that the result of that meeting was a 25bp rate hike.

Reuters have popped up a recap of the minutes and its an interesting read.

As for dissent, says the report:

  • Austria's Robert Holzmann held out for a bigger increase, according to sources close to the discussion.


                This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Source: ECB minutes recap - many Eurozone central bank governors wanted a larger rate hike

forexlive.com
52
Forex / New Zealand Q1 2023 Terms of T...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
New Zealand Q1 2023 Terms of Trade data -1.5% q/q. Export and import prices both down q/q

New Zealand Export prices -6.9% q/q

  • expected -2.2%, prior -0.6%

Import prices -5.4% q/q

  • expected -0.8%
    prior -2.1%

Putting those two together shows the terms of trade down 1.5% q/q

  • expected flat at 0.0%, prior -6.3%

---

In brief:

  • Terms of trade refer to the ratio between the prices of a country's exports and the prices of its imports. In other words, it's the relative value of a country's exports to its imports.
  • When the terms of trade of a country are improving, it means that the prices of its exports are increasing faster than the prices of its imports. This can lead to an increase in the purchasing power of the country's exports, which can boost economic growth.
  • On the other hand, if a country's terms of trade are deteriorating, it means that the prices of its imports are increasing faster than the prices of its exports. This can lead to a decrease in the purchasing power of the country's exports, which can negatively impact economic growth.

Dairy is a big New Zealand export

nzd



                This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Source: New Zealand Q1 2023 Terms of Trade data -1.5% q/q. Export and import prices both down q/q

forexlive.com
53
Forex / June Fed hike? The data-depend...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
June Fed hike? The data-dependent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is awaiting the NFP

The jobs report from the US is due at 1230 GMT / 0830 US Eastern time.

Previews:

Analysts at Bank of Montreal note that the report is important for the June (13 - 14) FOMC meeting:

  • As newly nominated Vice-Chair Jefferson voiced his support for patience,
     but said a pause in June does not rule out future hikes, the market's
    sentiment has swung increasingly in favor of steady policy rates on June
     14th.
  • The realities of data dependence means that what ultimately
    transpires will be a function of Friday's employment data, and CPI
    released on June 13th.
  • With the odds of a 25 bp hike in just under two
    weeks down to 28%, NFP will be pivotal input for any incoming rhetoric
    before the pre-meeting radio silence period begins.


                This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

Source: June Fed hike? The data-dependent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is awaiting the NFP

forexlive.com
54
Forex / AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls ...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls stay in the game and eye higher before correction

AUDUSD advanced mid-week and extended the gains on Thursday´s New York session as the US Dollar tumbled. AUD was helped by better China factory data a

Source: AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls stay in the game and eye higher before correction
55
Forex / USD/JPY rebound prods 139.00 a...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
USD/JPY rebound prods 139.00 amid steady yields, cautious mood ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY pares weekly losses around 138.85-90 during early Friday's boring session as traders await the US jobs report amid a light calendar in Japan.

Source: USD/JPY rebound prods 139.00 amid steady yields, cautious mood ahead of US NFP
56
Forex / Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD e...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes a sustained break above $1,980 amid chaos over Fed's rate guidance

Gold price (XAU/USD) has sensed marginal selling pressure after failing to sustain above the crucial resistance of $1,980.00 in the Asian session. The

Source: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes a sustained break above $1,980 amid chaos over Fed's rate guidance
57
Forex / EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro b...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro bulls need validation from 100-day EMA and US NFP

EUR/USD seesaws around 1.0760 during Friday's sluggish Asian session, after rising the most in nearly two months the previous day. In doing so, the Eu

Source: EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro bulls need validation from 100-day EMA and US NFP
58
Forex / RBA to hold rates at 3.85% in ...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
RBA to hold rates at 3.85% in June, but may raise again soon - Reuters poll

Australia's central bank will keep key interest rate unchanged at 3.85% on Tuesday despite inflation staying well above the target range," per the lat

Source: RBA to hold rates at 3.85% in June, but may raise again soon - Reuters poll
59
Forex / WTI retreats towards $70.00 am...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
WTI retreats towards $70.00 amid pre-NFP consolidation, OPEC+ concerns

WTI crude oil fades upside momentum around $70.00 during early Friday in Asia, after rising the most in one month the previous day. In doing so, the O

Source: WTI retreats towards $70.00 amid pre-NFP consolidation, OPEC+ concerns
60
Forex / US Dollar Index fits below 103...
Last post by forex4you - Jun 02, 2023, 06:25 am
US Dollar Index fits below 103.60 as hawkish Fed bets trim, US NFP in spotlight

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is auctioning below the crucial support of 103.60 in the Tokyo session. The USD index was heavily dumped by the market parti

Source: US Dollar Index fits below 103.60 as hawkish Fed bets trim, US NFP in spotlight
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