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TA: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $39k: What Could Trigger Another Decline

Started by Bitcoin, May 02, 2022, 06:53 am

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Bitcoin

TA: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $39k: What Could Trigger Another Decline

Bitcoin extended decline below the $38,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering, but it must clear $39,000 for upside continuation.



  • Bitcoin remained in a bearish zone below $40,000 and $39,000.

  • The price is now trading below $39,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

  • The pair must clear the $39,000 resistance to continue higher in the near term.


Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery Wave

Bitcoin price gained bearish momentum after it broke the $39,000 support zone. BTC even traded below the $38,000 level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.


There was a spike below the $37,500 support zone. A low was formed near $37,399 and the price is now correcting higher. There was a move above the $38,000 and $38,200 resistance levels. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.


Bitcoin price even climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $40,349 swing high to $37,399 low. It is now facing resistance near the $38,800 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.


The 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $40,349 swing high to $37,399 low is also near the $38,800 zone to act as a resistance. The next key resistance could be near the $39,000 zone. A close above the $39,000 level could open the doors for a decent increase.



Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could even surpass the $39,250 resistance. The next major resistance may perhaps be near the $40,000 zone.


Fresh Decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $39,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $38,400 level.


The next major support is seen near the $38,000 level. A clear break below the $38,000 support zone could even push the price below $37,500. Any more losses might call for a test of the $36,400 support.


Technical indicators:


Hourly MACD - The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.


Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) - The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.


Major Support Levels - $38,400, followed by $38,000.


Major Resistance Levels - $38,800, $39,000 and $39,200.


Source: TA: Bitcoin Consolidates Below $39k: What Could Trigger Another Decline